Why most ERP projects fail, and the one thing that saves them
Two-thirds of ERP replacements run over budget or get abandoned. The cause is almost never the technology.
Bilal Ahmed · 17 Jun 2026
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It is not the model, the framework or the budget. It is knowing what the system should do when it is unsure.
By Bilal Ahmed ·
We have scoped a lot of AI work in the last two years and turned down a fair amount of it. The projects that reach production and stay there share a design decision that has nothing to do with which model you pick.
Any classifier will be confident and wrong some percentage of the time. The question that decides whether a project survives contact with real users is: what happens then?
On a healthcare triage system we built, the answer was a calibrated confidence threshold and a human review queue. The model handles 81% of referrals on its own. The other 19% go to a person — not as a failure mode, but as the designed behaviour. That is what got it past the clinical governance board.
Vibes are not evaluation. Build a holdout set labelled by the people whose judgement the system is replicating, and run against it every week. When accuracy drifts — and it will, as your inputs change — you will know before your users tell you.
Every time a human corrects the system, that is a labelled example arriving free. Capture it. Most teams do not, and then wonder why their model never improves after launch.
Bilal Ahmed
SoftCity Solutions
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Two-thirds of ERP replacements run over budget or get abandoned. The cause is almost never the technology.
Bilal Ahmed · 17 Jun 2026
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